Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Osijek had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Osijek win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.