Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 18
Dec 8, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Kranjceviceva

NK Lokomotiva
1 - 1
Hajduk Split

Gorican (25')
Bartolec (30'), Mudrazija (53'), Soticek (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Benrahou (75')
Diallo (4'), Kalik (86')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Lokomotiva and Hajduk Split.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rudes 0-0 NK Lokomotiva
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 3-0 Gorica
Saturday, December 2 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 53.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for NK Lokomotiva had a probability of 22.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a NK Lokomotiva win it was 1-0 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
NK LokomotivaDrawHajduk Split
22.33% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)24.61% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)53.05% (0.108 0.11)
Both teams to score 50.07% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.43% (0.103 0.1)51.57% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.63% (0.09 0.09)73.37% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
NK Lokomotiva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.12% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)37.88% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)74.65% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Hajduk Split Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.6% (0.082999999999998 0.08)19.4% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.79% (0.13699999999999 0.14)51.21% (-0.133 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    NK Lokomotiva 22.33%
    Hajduk Split 53.05%
    Draw 24.61%
NK LokomotivaDrawHajduk Split
1-0 @ 7.13% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-1 @ 5.68% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.46% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.84% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.51%
3-0 @ 1.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 22.33%
1-1 @ 11.69% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.35% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 24.61%
0-1 @ 12.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.88% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.4% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.24% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.22% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.15% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 53.05%

How you voted: NK Lokomotiva vs Hajduk Split

NK Lokomotiva
14.3%
Draw
0.0%
Hajduk Split
85.7%
7
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 6.15pm
Gameweek 9
Hajduk Split
1-0
NK Lokomotiva
Sahiti (76')
Sahiti (52'), Krovinovic (79')

Mudrazija (31'), Mersinaj (80')
Mersinaj (85')