Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 26

Mar 9, 2024 at 4.10pm UK

SRC Velika Gorica

Gorica
0 - 3
Hajduk Split

Prsir (3'), Jelicic (4'), Lazarov (45+2'), Lazarov (45+1'), Munksgaard (52')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Livaja (22'), Benrahou (31'), Pukstas (41')

Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Gorica and Hajduk Split.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gorica

All competitions

Last Game: Rudes 2-1 Gorica
Monday, March 4 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Goals
for

Hajduk Split

All competitions

Last Game: Hajduk Split 1-0 Istra 1961
Saturday, March 2 at 4.10pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 62.73%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 15.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.09%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Gorica win it was 1-0 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hajduk Split would win this match.

Result
Gorica	Draw	Hajduk Split
15.43% ( 0.16)	21.84% ( 0.09)	62.73% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 46.66% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.01% (

-0.07)

49.98% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.03% (

-0.06)

71.96% (

0.06)

Gorica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.13% (

0.18)

44.87% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.17% (

0.14)

80.83% (

-0.14)

Hajduk Split Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.64% (

-0.1)

15.36% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.86% (

-0.19)

44.14% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Gorica 15.43%

Hajduk Split 62.72%

Draw 21.83%

Gorica	Draw	Hajduk Split
1-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.41% Total : 15.43%	1-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.71% Total : 21.83%	0-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 12.09% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 7.55% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 6.05% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 3.54% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.84% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 62.72%