Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 68.26%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Slaven Koprivnica had a probability of 12.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Slaven Koprivnica win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hajduk Split would win this match.