Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 26

Mar 8, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stadion Andelko Herjavec

Varazdin
2 - 2
Istra 1961

Mitrovski (16'), Dabro (30')
Mitrovski (41'), Poldrugac (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Valincic (43'), Vuk (83' pen.)
Hujber (30'), Maresic (77')

Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Varazdin and NK Istra 1961.

Form, Standings, Stats

NK Varazdin

All competitions

Last Game: Rijeka 2-0 Varazdin
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Goals
for

NK Istra 1961

All competitions

Last Game: Hajduk Split 1-0 Istra 1961
Saturday, March 2 at 4.10pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Varazdin win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Varazdin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest NK Istra 1961 win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
NK Varazdin	Draw	NK Istra 1961
39.66% ( 0.03)	26.94% ( 0.09)	33.39% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 50.77% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.6% (

-0.4)

54.4% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.22% (

-0.33)

75.77% (

0.33)

NK Varazdin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.16% (

-0.17)

26.83% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.86% (

-0.22)

62.13% (

0.22)

NK Istra 1961 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.39% (

-0.28)

30.61% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.15% (

-0.34)

66.85% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

NK Varazdin 39.66%

NK Istra 1961 33.39%

Draw 26.94%

NK Varazdin	Draw	NK Istra 1961
1-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 39.66%	1-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.94%	0-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.76% 1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.12% Total : 33.39%