Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 74.65%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 9.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.65%) and 3-0 (10.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a NK Varazdin win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for HNK Rijeka in this match.