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UEFA Conference League

PAOK
Conference League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 14, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Toumbas
Dinamo Zagreb

PAOK
5 - 1
Dinamo Zagreb

Rahman (27'), Sucic (33' og.), Brandon (42'), Koulierakis (72'), Zivkovic (88' pen.)
Koulierakis (60'), Rahman (87')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Hoxha (49')
Baturina (14'), Misic (87'), Ogiwara (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between PAOK and Dinamo Zagreb, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PAOK

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: PAOK 0-1 Aris
Sunday, March 10 at 7pm in Greek Superleague

Dinamo Zagreb

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 5-2 Slaven Koprivnica
Sunday, March 10 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.

Result
PAOKDrawDinamo Zagreb
44.27% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)24.43% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)31.3% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 58.29% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.67% (0.025999999999996 0.03)44.33% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.29% (0.024999999999999 0.02)66.71% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.84% (0.0010000000000048 0)20.16% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.56% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)52.44% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Dinamo Zagreb Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01% (0.033000000000001 0.03)26.99% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66% (0.039999999999999 0.04)62.34% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    PAOK 44.27%
    Dinamo Zagreb 31.3%
    Draw 24.43%
PAOKDrawDinamo Zagreb
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.88% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 3.73% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.95%
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 44.27%
1-1 @ 11.41%
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.43%
1-2 @ 7.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 7.13% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 31.3%

How you voted: PAOK vs Dinamo Zagreb

PAOK
69.5%
Draw
9.8%
Dinamo Zagreb
20.7%
82
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2024 8pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Dinamo Zagreb
2-0
PAOK
Petkovic (37', 71')
Vidovic (47'), Sucic (86'), Zagorac (87')

Ozdoyev (62'), Murg (76'), Despodov (90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


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