Conference League
Mar 14, 2024 5.45pm
5
1
HT : 3 0
FT Stadio Toumbas
  • Baba Rahman 27' goal
  • Petar Sucic 33' goal
  • Brandon 42' goal
  • Konstantinos Koulierakis 60' yellowcard
  • Konstantinos Koulierakis 72' goal
  • Baba Rahman 87' yellowcard
  • Andrija Zivkovic 88' goal
  • yellowcard Martin Baturina 14'
  • goal Arber Hoxha 49'
  • yellowcard Josip Misic 87'
  • yellowcard Takuya Ogiwara 90'+1'

PAOK vs Dinamo Zagreb - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

PAOK

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Mar 7, 2024 8.00pm
Dinamo Zagreb 2 - 0 PAOK

Dinamo Zagreb

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Mar 7, 2024 8.00pm
Dinamo Zagreb 2 - 0 PAOK

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.

Result

PAOK 44.27% (-0.03)
Draw 24.43% (-0.01)
Dinamo Zagreb 31.3% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.29% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.67% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 44.33% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 33.29% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 66.71% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 17.01% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 82.99% (-0.02)

PAOK Goals

Over 0.5 79.84% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 20.16% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 47.56% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 52.44% (+0.01)

Dinamo Zagreb Goals

Over 0.5 73.01% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 26.99% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 37.66% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 62.34% (-0.04)

Score analysis

PAOK 44.27%
Draw 24.43%
Dinamo Zagreb 31.3%
PAOK
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.98% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.88% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.73% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.2% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.95%
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 44.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.41%
2-2 @ 5.99% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.43%
Dinamo Zagreb
1-2 @ 7.47% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.13% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.67% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.26% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.61% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.04% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 31.3%

Head to Head

Conference League
Mar 7, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Maksimir
  • Bruno Petkovic 37' goal
  • Gabriel Vidovic 47' yellowcard
  • Bruno Petkovic 71' goal
  • Petar Sucic 86' yellowcard
  • Daniel Zagorac 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Magomed Ozdoyev 62'
  • yellowcard Thomas Murg 76'
  • yellowcard Kiril Despodov 90'+2'