Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 68.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 12.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.67%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 1-0 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.