Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.