Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.