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Europa League

Olympiacos
Europa League | Group Stage
Dec 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Georgios Karaiskaki

Olympiacos
5 - 2
Backa Topola

El Kaabi (21'), Podence (40', 42'), Ilic (46' og.), El-Arabi (67')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Dakovac (48'), Cirkovic (60')
Kuveljic (30'), Radin (50'), Sos (75'), Krstic (80')
Kuveljic (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Olympiacos and Backa Topola, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Olympiacos

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Volos 2-2 Olympiacos
Sunday, December 3 at 2.30pm in Greek Superleague

Backa Topola

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Backa Topola 0-1 West Ham
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 74.08%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Backa Topola had a probability of 10.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.36%), while for a Backa Topola win it was 1-2 (3.04%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.

Result
OlympiacosDrawBacka Topola
74.08% (0.048999999999992 0.05)15.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)10.19% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 51.68% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.85% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)35.15% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.84% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)57.16% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Olympiacos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)8.1% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.55% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)28.45% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Backa Topola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.23% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)43.77% (0.1 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.07% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)79.93% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Olympiacos 74.07%
    Backa Topola 10.19%
    Draw 15.74%
OlympiacosDrawBacka Topola
2-0 @ 11.19% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 9.38% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-0 @ 8.91% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.75% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 5.9% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.87% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.96% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.45% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 2.01% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.24% (0.0029999999999999 0)
6-1 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.01% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 74.07%
1-1 @ 7.36% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 3.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.55% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 15.74%
1-2 @ 3.04% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.93%
0-2 @ 1.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 10.19%

How you voted: Olympiacos vs Backa Topola

Olympiacos
83.3%
Draw
8.3%
Backa Topola
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Backa Topola
2-2
Olympiacos
Dakovac (63'), Pantovic (90')
Petrovic (90+3')
Masouras (16'), Podence (57')
Paschalakis (85')
Ntoi (71')
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