Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 18.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Panathinaikos win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.