Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 80.22%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 5.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.78%) and 3-0 (12.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.46%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 0-1 (2.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.