Greek Superleague | Gameweek 21

Feb 4, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis

AEK Athens
4 - 2
Asteras

Zukanovic (25' og., 43' og.), Ponce (27'), Garcia (76')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Bartolo (45+3' pen.), Miritello (90')
Zukanovic (12'), Goss (33'), Bartolo (41')

Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between AEK Athens and Asteras Tripolis.

Form, Standings, Stats

AEK Athens

All competitions

Last Game: AEK Athens 3-0 OFI Crete
Sunday, January 28 at 2pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

Asteras Tripolis

All competitions

Last Game: Asteras 3-1 Atromitos
Sunday, January 28 at 3.30pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 73.99%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 8.73%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.45%) and 3-0 (10.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.

Result
AEK Athens	Draw	Asteras Tripolis
73.99% ( -0.08)	17.28% ( 0.04)	8.73% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 40.07% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.82% (

-0.08)

47.19% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.58% (

-0.07)

69.42% (

0.07)

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.81% (

-0.04)

11.19% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.3% (

-0.09)

35.7% (

0.09)

Asteras Tripolis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.12% (

0.03)

54.89% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.19% (

0.02)

87.82% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

AEK Athens 73.99%

Asteras Tripolis 8.73%

Draw 17.28%

AEK Athens	Draw	Asteras Tripolis
2-0 @ 14.73% 1-0 @ 13.45% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.94% 5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0) 6-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 73.99%	1-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 2.65% ( 0) Other @ 0.42% Total : 17.28%	0-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 1.52% Total : 8.73%