Greek Superleague | Gameweek 16
Jan 3, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis
Aris

Asteras
3 - 2
Aris

Miritello (45+2' pen., 50'), Munafo (61')
Miritello (55')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Moron (8' pen.), Suleymanov (14')
Odubajo (90+6'), Moron (90+7'), Brabec (90+9')
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between Asteras Tripolis and Aris Thessaloniki.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: OFI Crete 0-2 Asteras
Thursday, December 21 at 3.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Aris 2-2 Lamia
Wednesday, December 20 at 3pm in Greek Superleague

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Asteras TripolisDrawAris Thessaloniki
31.76% (-0.332 -0.33)28.4% (0.104 0.1)39.83% (0.223 0.22)
Both teams to score 46.03% (-0.388 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.83% (-0.44 -0.44)60.16% (0.436 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.63% (-0.336 -0.34)80.36% (0.33200000000001 0.33)
Asteras Tripolis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.28% (-0.473 -0.47)34.71% (0.47000000000001 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.55% (-0.504 -0.5)71.44% (0.5 0.5)
Aris Thessaloniki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.5% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)29.5% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.49% (-0.105 -0.11)65.51% (0.101 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Asteras Tripolis 31.76%
    Aris Thessaloniki 39.83%
    Draw 28.39%
Asteras TripolisDrawAris Thessaloniki
1-0 @ 10.83% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 7% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-0 @ 5.73% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.47% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.02% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 31.76%
1-1 @ 13.22% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.23% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.39%
0-1 @ 12.5% (0.18 0.18)
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.63% (0.089 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.29% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.11% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 39.83%

How you voted: Asteras vs Aris

Asteras Tripolis
50.0%
Draw
20.0%
Aris Thessaloniki
30.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 3
Aris
3-2
Asteras
Zamora (16'), Moron (61'), Leismann (82' pen.)
Cuesta (90+4')
Bartolo (28'), Mantzis (85')
Castano (45+6'), Papadopoulos (80'), Kaltsas (82')
Jan 8, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 17
Aris
3-0
Asteras
Garcia (19'), Leismann (32'), Camacho (89')
Sep 11, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 4
Asteras
0-2
Aris
Gray (20'), Mbakata (60')
Feb 26, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 25
Asteras
0-2
Aris

Munafo (43'), Sito (52'), Barrales (53'), Atienza (61'), Regis (90+4')
Kamara (41'), Sasha (90+7')
Cuesta (72'), Sundgren (79'), Mancini (90'), Garcia (90+9')
Dec 5, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Aris
1-0
Asteras
Gama (41')
Jeggo (72')

Castano (29'), Riera (46'), Atienza (84')