Aris
Greek Superleague | Gameweek 17
Jan 8, 2023 at 5pm UK
Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium

Aris
3 - 0
Asteras

Garcia (19'), Leismann (32'), Camacho (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between Aris Thessaloniki and Asteras Tripolis.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PAOK 1-0 Aris
Wednesday, January 4 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Asteras 3-0 Lamia
Wednesday, January 4 at 3pm in Greek Superleague

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 66.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 11.88%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.46%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.

Result
Aris ThessalonikiDrawAsteras Tripolis
66.61% (-0.39700000000001 -0.4)21.52% (0.353 0.35)11.88% (0.055 0.05)
Both teams to score 38.79% (-0.751 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.42% (-1.138 -1.14)55.58% (1.147 1.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.25% (-0.938 -0.94)76.75% (0.94799999999999 0.95)
Aris Thessaloniki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.02% (-0.512 -0.51)15.98% (0.522 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.72% (-0.955 -0.95)45.28% (0.965 0.96)
Asteras Tripolis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.17% (-0.605 -0.61)53.83% (0.615 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.83% (-0.375 -0.38)87.17% (0.384 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Aris Thessaloniki 66.6%
    Asteras Tripolis 11.88%
    Draw 21.52%
Aris ThessalonikiDrawAsteras Tripolis
1-0 @ 15.77% (0.42 0.42)
2-0 @ 14.46% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 8.84% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-0 @ 4.05% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.51% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.079 -0.08)
5-0 @ 1.49% (-0.068 -0.07)
5-1 @ 0.92% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 66.6%
1-1 @ 9.77% (0.081 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.6% (0.375 0.38)
2-2 @ 2.77% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.52%
0-1 @ 5.33% (0.138 0.14)
1-2 @ 3.03% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.65% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 11.88%

Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 7.30pm
Asteras
0-2
Aris
Gray (20'), Mbakata (60')
Leismann (10')
Feb 26, 2022 3.15pm
Asteras
0-2
Aris

Munafo (43'), Sito (52'), Barrales (53'), Atienza (61'), Regis (90+4')
Kamara (41'), Sasha (90+7')
Cuesta (72'), Sundgren (79'), Mancini (90'), Garcia (90+9')
Dec 5, 2021 5.30pm
Aris
1-0
Asteras
Gama (41')
Jeggo (72')

Castano (29'), Riera (46'), Atienza (84')
Apr 25, 2021 3.15pm
Asteras
1-1
Aris
Rose (81' og.)
Christopoulos (35'), Pasalidis (90+3')
Mancini (74')
Sundgren (59'), Delizisis (65')
Apr 4, 2021 3.15pm
Aris
2-0
Asteras
Silva (69'), Manos (90+1')
Jeggo (17'), Sasha (57')

Munafo (16'), Suarez (80')