Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 58%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 17.55%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aris Thessaloniki in this match.