Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.35%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for PAOK in this match.