AEK Athens
Greek Superleague | Gameweek 24
Feb 25, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis

AEK Athens
2 - 0
Asteras

Araujo (32'), Gacinovic (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between AEK Athens and Asteras Tripolis.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PAOK 2-0 AEK Athens
Sunday, February 19 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Asteras 1-1 PAS Giannina
Saturday, February 18 at 6pm in Greek Superleague

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 83.44%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 4.43%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.9%) and 1-0 (12.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.53%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (2.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AEK Athens in this match.

Result
AEK AthensDrawAsteras Tripolis
83.44% (0.030000000000001 0.03)12.13% (-0.02 -0.02)4.43% (-0.0091000000000001 -0.01)
Both teams to score 33.38% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.65% (0.054000000000002 0.05)41.34% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.26% (0.055 0.05)63.74% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
AEK Athens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.54% (0.016999999999996 0.02)7.45% (-0.0181 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.19% (0.045999999999992 0.05)26.81% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Asteras Tripolis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
36.06% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)63.93% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.47% (0.0011000000000001 0)92.53% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    AEK Athens 83.43%
    Asteras Tripolis 4.43%
    Draw 12.13%
AEK AthensDrawAsteras Tripolis
2-0 @ 16.06% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 13.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 12.37% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
4-0 @ 9.03% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.19% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 6.22% (0.0020000000000007 0)
5-0 @ 4.69% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 2.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
6-0 @ 2.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.39% (0.0010000000000001 0)
6-1 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
4-2 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 83.43%
1-1 @ 5.53% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.77% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 1.61% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 12.13%
0-1 @ 2.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 4.43%

How you voted: AEK Athens vs Asteras

AEK Athens
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
Asteras Tripolis
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 6.30pm
Asteras
1-1
AEK Athens
Regis (58')
Barrales (28')
Amrabat (52' pen.)
Mar 6, 2022 5pm
AEK Athens
2-1
Asteras
Araujo (24'), Tzavellas (81')
Simoes (33'), Michelin (76'), Szymanski (90+1')
Barrales (56')
Alvarez (18'), Atienza (23'), Luis Valiente (70'), Munafo (79')
Dec 11, 2021 5.30pm
Asteras
0-0
AEK Athens

Luis Valiente (57'), Garcia (85')

Amrabat (26'), Vranjes (36'), Simoes (61')
May 12, 2021 5.30pm
Asteras
1-1
AEK Athens
Kotsiras (63')
Castano (90+2')
Ansarifard (56')
Galanopoulos (80'), Vasilantonopoulos (80')
Apr 18, 2021 3.15pm
AEK Athens
3-1
Asteras
Galanopoulos (39'), Lopes (85'), Albanis (90+5')
Mantalos (35')
Riera (41')
Luis Valiente (35')