Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 83.44%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 4.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.9%) and 1-0 (12.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.53%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (2.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AEK Athens in this match.