Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a OFI Crete win with a probability of 53.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 20.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a OFI Crete win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for OFI Crete in this match.