AEK Athens
Greek Superleague | Gameweek 18
Jan 15, 2023 at 2pm UK
Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis

AEK Athens
4 - 1
Panetolikos

Araujo (13'), Garcia (35'), Pineda (51'), Amrabat (55')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Pedro (40' pen.)
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between AEK Athens and Panetolikos.

Form, Standings, Stats

AEK Athens

All competitions
Last Game: AEK Athens 1-0 Panathinaikos
Sunday, January 8 at 5.30pm in Greek Superleague

Panetolikos

All competitions
Last Game: Panetolikos 0-4 OFI Crete
Monday, January 9 at 3pm in Greek Superleague

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 76.53%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 7.37%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.61%) and 3-0 (11.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 0-1 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.

Result
AEK AthensDrawPanetolikos
76.53% (1.221 1.22)16.1% (-0.807 -0.81)7.37% (-0.414 -0.41)
Both teams to score 37.73% (0.526 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.32% (1.974 1.97)46.68% (-1.974 -1.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.05% (1.821 1.82)68.95% (-1.822 -1.82)
AEK Athens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.61% (0.852 0.85)10.39% (-0.852 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.09% (1.895 1.9)33.91% (-1.896 -1.9)
Panetolikos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.1% (0.188 0.19)57.89% (-0.189 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.46% (0.101 0.1)89.54% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    AEK Athens 76.52%
    Panetolikos 7.37%
    Draw 16.1%
AEK AthensDrawPanetolikos
2-0 @ 15.42% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-0 @ 13.61% (-0.65 -0.65)
3-0 @ 11.64% (0.28 0.28)
2-1 @ 8.43% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
4-0 @ 6.59% (0.381 0.38)
3-1 @ 6.36% (0.189 0.19)
4-1 @ 3.6% (0.229 0.23)
5-0 @ 2.99% (0.271 0.27)
3-2 @ 1.74% (0.062 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.63% (0.156 0.16)
6-0 @ 1.13% (0.138 0.14)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 76.52%
1-1 @ 7.44% (-0.309 -0.31)
0-0 @ 6.01% (-0.515 -0.52)
2-2 @ 2.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 16.1%
0-1 @ 3.29% (-0.26 -0.26)
1-2 @ 2.03% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 7.37%

How you voted: AEK Athens vs Panetolikos

AEK Athens
100%
Draw
0.0%
Panetolikos
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 6pm
Panetolikos
0-2
AEK Athens

Apostolakis (6')
Garcia (48'), Moukoudi (75')
Jan 16, 2022 3.15pm
AEK Athens
1-2
Panetolikos
Ansarifard (44')
Simoes (56')
Karelis (79'), Mendoza (84')
Mendoza (85')
Oct 3, 2021 2pm
Panetolikos
1-3
AEK Athens
Vergos (58')
Mendoza (26'), Cornelius (50')
Garcia (13'), Vranjes (26'), Zuber (83')
Simoes (38'), Le Tallec (56')
Jan 6, 2021 3.15pm
AEK Athens
1-0
Panetolikos
Galanopoulos (41')
Shakhov (36'), Insua (86')

Malis (39'), Liavas (43'), Medina (89')
Sep 19, 2020 6.30pm
Panetolikos
0-2
AEK Athens

Karasalidis (21')
Livaja (68'), Mantalos (87')
Hnid (15'), Svarnas (20'), Oliveira (38'), Livaja (40'), Paulinho (49'), Chygrynskiy (74')