Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 68.53%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Ionikos had a probability of 11.69%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.55%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Ionikos win it was 1-0 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.