Greek Superleague | Gameweek 1

Mar 10, 2024 at 7pm UK

Stadio Toumbas

PAOK
0 - 1
Aris

Schwab (60'), Zivkovic (75')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Moron (31')
Ansarifard (66'), Ferrari (90+6'), Verstraete (90+5')

Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between PAOK and Aris Thessaloniki.

Form, Standings, Stats

PAOK

All competitions

Greek Superleague

Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 2-0 PAOK
Thursday, March 7 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aris Thessaloniki

All competitions

Last Game: Aris 3-3 AEK Athens
Sunday, March 3 at 5.30pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 58.12%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 18.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
PAOK	Draw	Aris Thessaloniki
58.12% ( 0.05)	22.98% ( -0.07)	18.9% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 49.99% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.88% (

0.35)

49.11% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.81% (

0.32)

71.18% (

-0.31)

PAOK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.39% (

0.14)

16.61% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.57% (

0.25)

46.43% (

-0.25)

Aris Thessaloniki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.94% (

0.24)

40.05% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.3% (

0.22)

76.7% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

PAOK 58.12%

Aris Thessaloniki 18.9%

Draw 22.97%

PAOK	Draw	Aris Thessaloniki
1-0 @ 11.94% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.42% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.99% Total : 58.12%	1-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.91% Total : 22.97%	0-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.13% Total : 18.9%