Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.