Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 48.65%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 25.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.