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UEFA Conference League

Club Brugge
Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 11, 2024 at 8pm UK
Jan Breydelstadion
PAOK

Brugge
1 - 0
PAOK

Vetlesen (6')
Thiago (25'), De Cuyper (84'), Brandon (90'), Skoras (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Samatta (50'), Mechele (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Club Brugge and PAOK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Brugge

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Brugge 3-1 Anderlecht
Sunday, April 7 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

PAOK

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: AEK Athens 2-2 PAOK
Sunday, April 7 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 53.63%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 23.38% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest PAOK win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.

Result
Club BruggeDrawPAOK
53.63% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)23% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)23.38% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.49% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.31% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)43.69% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.92% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)66.08% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Club Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.75% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)16.25% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.22% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)45.78% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.45%32.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.92%69.09% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Club Brugge 53.63%
    PAOK 23.38%
    Draw 22.99%
Club BruggeDrawPAOK
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.73%
3-1 @ 5.94% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 5.29% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.7% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.4% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 53.63%
1-1 @ 10.78%
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 6.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 5.94% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.33% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-3 @ 2.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.06%
0-3 @ 1.25% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 23.38%

How you voted: Brugge vs PAOK

Club Brugge
48.4%
Draw
29.5%
PAOK
22.1%
95