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Conference League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 7, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Aker Stadion
Club Brugge

Molde
2 - 1
Brugge

Stenevik (43'), Gulbrandsen (90+2')
Hagelskjaer (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
De Cuyper (85' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Molde and Club Brugge, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Molde

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Legia 0-3 Molde
Thursday, February 22 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Club Brugge

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Genk 0-3 Brugge
Sunday, March 3 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Molde had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.9%) and 0-2 (5.24%). The likeliest Molde win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
MoldeDrawClub Brugge
35.68% (-0.355 -0.36)22.56% (0.058 0.06)41.76% (0.297 0.3)
Both teams to score 66.78% (-0.306 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.13% (-0.36799999999999 -0.37)33.87% (0.36799999999999 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.28% (-0.419 -0.42)55.72% (0.419 0.42)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.39% (-0.33699999999999 -0.34)19.61% (0.338 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.45% (-0.553 -0.55)51.55% (0.552 0.55)
Club Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.07% (-0.032000000000011 -0.03)16.93% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)47% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Molde 35.68%
    Club Brugge 41.76%
    Draw 22.56%
MoldeDrawClub Brugge
2-1 @ 7.83% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.41% (0.047 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.25% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.77% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-3 @ 0.91% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 35.68%
1-1 @ 9.61% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.95% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.32% (0.063 0.06)
3-3 @ 2.23% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 8.53% (0.055 0.05)
0-1 @ 5.9% (0.106 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.24% (0.089 0.09)
1-3 @ 5.05% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 4.11% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.1% (0.049 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.83% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.38% (0.02 0.02)
3-4 @ 0.99% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 41.76%

How you voted: Molde vs Brugge

Molde
31.7%
Draw
18.3%
Club Brugge
50.0%
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