Europa Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 15, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Aker Stadion
Molde3 - 2Legia
Gulbrandsen (12', 19'), Andre Kaasa (24')
Eriksen (58'), Hagelskjaer (70'), Hestad (82'), Linnes (90'), Odegard (90+2')
Eriksen (58'), Hagelskjaer (70'), Hestad (82'), Linnes (90'), Odegard (90+2')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-1 Molde
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Ruch Chorzow 0-1 Legia
Friday, February 9 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Friday, February 9 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
We said: Molde 0-1 Legia Warsaw
Molde's rustiness may be a problem having not played a competitive fixture in almost two months, while the departure of two of their top scorers from last season will leave a gaping hole in attack. Legia have only recently returned to action and are depleted following the January window themselves, but showed good form in the group stage to finish just one point behind Aston Villa, and a win on their return at the weekend will do them the world of good. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 50.2%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Molde | Draw | Legia Warsaw |
| 50.2% | 22.71% ( -0) | 27.09% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 61.48% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
