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Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 15, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Aker Stadion

Molde
3 - 2
Legia

Gulbrandsen (12', 19'), Andre Kaasa (24')
Eriksen (58'), Hagelskjaer (70'), Hestad (82'), Linnes (90'), Odegard (90+2')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Pesqueira (63'), Augustyniak (71')
Elitim (85'), Pesqueira (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Molde and Legia Warsaw, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Molde

All competitions
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-1 Molde
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ruch Chorzow 0-1 Legia
Friday, February 9 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 50.2%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.

Result
MoldeDrawLegia Warsaw
50.2%22.71% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)27.09% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 61.48% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.12% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)38.88% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.81% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)61.19% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.29% (0.0019999999999953 0)15.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)44.79% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (0.0049999999999955 0)27.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)62.43% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Molde 50.2%
    Legia Warsaw 27.09%
    Draw 22.7%
MoldeDrawLegia Warsaw
2-1 @ 9.52%
1-0 @ 7.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 7.28% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.87%
3-0 @ 4.49% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.72%
4-0 @ 2.08%
4-2 @ 1.78% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 50.2%
1-1 @ 10.28%
2-2 @ 6.22%
0-0 @ 4.25%
3-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.7%
1-2 @ 6.72% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5.56% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.63%
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.71%
0-3 @ 1.58%
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3%
Total : 27.09%

How you voted: Molde vs Legia

Molde
41.0%
Draw
21.0%
Legia Warsaw
38.1%
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