Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 57.18%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 21.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 1-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.