Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 55.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Lugano had a probability of 22.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Lugano win it was 2-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.