Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lausanne Sport win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 38.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lausanne Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.44%) and 2-0 (5.22%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lausanne Sport would win this match.

Result
Lausanne Sport	Draw	Lugano
38.66% ( -4.64)	23.32% ( 0.09)	38.02% ( 4.56)

Both teams to score 64.11% (

0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.55% (

0.38)

37.45% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.32% (

0.4)

59.68% (

-0.4)

Lausanne Sport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.22% (

-1.86)

19.78% (

1.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.16% (

-3.11)

51.84% (

3.12)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.92% (

2.5)

20.08% (

-2.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.68% (

3.85)

52.32% (

-3.85)

Score Analysis

Lausanne Sport 38.66%

Lugano 38.02%

Draw 23.32%

Lausanne Sport	Draw	Lugano
2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.53) 1-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.52) 2-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.76) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.58) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.61) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.36) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.33) Other @ 3.22% Total : 38.66%	1-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.32%	1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.59) 0-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.36) 0-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.64) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.62) 2-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.31) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.52) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.36) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.22) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.27) Other @ 3.13% Total : 38.02%