Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lausanne Sport win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Basel had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lausanne Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.62%) and 2-0 (5.41%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lausanne Sport would win this match.