MX23RW : Tuesday, April 30 00:46:02| >> :600:880824:880824:
Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Europa Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
Molde logo

Legia
0 - 3
Molde


Elitim (26'), Augustyniak (56')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Gulbrandsen (2', 67'), Hestad (20')
Andre Kaasa (28'), Gulbrandsen (47'), Haugan (71'), Fjortoft Lovik (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Legia Warsaw and Molde, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Legia 1-1 Puszcza Niepolomice
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Molde

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Molde 3-2 Legia
Thursday, February 15 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Legia Warsaw 3-1 Molde (Legia Warsaw to win 5-4 on aggregate)

 Having initially breached the Legia defence so easily last week, Molde will fancy their chances in this contest. Nevertheless, backed by their home support, Legia may have enough in their ranks to get over the line, potentially after extra time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Molde had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.86%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Molde win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Legia WarsawDrawMolde
49.58% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 22.15% (0.0019999999999989 0) 28.26% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 64.54% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)35.28% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)57.31% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.38% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)14.62% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.28% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)42.72% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.58% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)24.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)58.84% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Legia Warsaw 49.58%
    Molde 28.26%
    Draw 22.15%
Legia WarsawDrawMolde
2-1 @ 9.3%
1-0 @ 6.86%
2-0 @ 6.6%
3-1 @ 5.96%
3-0 @ 4.23%
3-2 @ 4.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.03%
4-2 @ 2.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.1%
4-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 49.58%
1-1 @ 9.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 6.56%
0-0 @ 3.57%
3-3 @ 1.98%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.15%
1-2 @ 6.82%
0-1 @ 5.03%
0-2 @ 3.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.21%
2-3 @ 3.08% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.67%
1-4 @ 1.13%
2-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 28.26%

How you voted: Legia vs Molde

Legia Warsaw
76.2%
Draw
15.9%
Molde
7.9%
63
Head to Head
Feb 15, 2024 5.45pm
Knockout Round Playoffs 1st Leg
Molde
3-2
Legia
Gulbrandsen (12', 19'), Andre Kaasa (24')
Eriksen (58'), Hagelskjaer (70'), Hestad (82'), Linnes (90'), Odegard (90+2')
Pesqueira (63'), Augustyniak (71')
Elitim (85'), Pesqueira (90+3')
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