Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 21
Feb 18, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego

Legia
1 - 1
Puszcza Niepolomice

Rosolek (86')
Burch (39'), Pesqueira (76'), Jedrzejczyk (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Koj (42')
Mrozinski (29'), Zapolnik (75'), Bartosz (76')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Legia Warsaw and Puszcza Niepolomice.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Molde 3-2 Legia
Thursday, February 15 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Stal Mielec 2-1 Puszcza Niepolomice
Friday, February 9 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 61.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Puszcza Niepolomice had a probability of 16.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Puszcza Niepolomice win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Legia WarsawDrawPuszcza Niepolomice
61.4% (-0.611 -0.61)21.66% (0.136 0.14)16.94% (0.474 0.47)
Both teams to score 50.41% (0.556 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.34% (0.23200000000001 0.23)46.65% (-0.233 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.08% (0.219 0.22)68.92% (-0.22 -0.22)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.32% (-0.117 -0.12)14.68% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.15% (-0.225 -0.23)42.85% (0.224 0.22)
Puszcza Niepolomice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.09% (0.732 0.73)40.91% (-0.733 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.52% (0.649 0.65)77.48% (-0.64999999999999 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    Legia Warsaw 61.39%
    Puszcza Niepolomice 16.94%
    Draw 21.66%
Legia WarsawDrawPuszcza Niepolomice
1-0 @ 11.52% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-0 @ 11.05% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.07% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-1 @ 6.32% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.39% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 3.03% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.05 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.3% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 61.39%
1-1 @ 10.3% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.01% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.42% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 21.66%
0-1 @ 5.37% (0.054 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.6% (0.118 0.12)
0-2 @ 2.4% (0.072 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.37% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 16.94%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 4
Puszcza Niepolomice
1-1
Legia
Solowiej (26')
Tulacz (43'), Zapolnik (50'), Yakuba (73'), Stepien (74'), Hajda (80'), Craciun (87')
Pesqueira (34')
Jedrzejczyk (42'), Rosolek (72')
rhs 2.0


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