Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 61.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Puszcza Niepolomice had a probability of 16.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Puszcza Niepolomice win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.