Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Puszcza Niepolomice had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Puszcza Niepolomice win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.