Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 18

Dec 10, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia
4 - 2
Rakow

Naranjo (12', 33'), Nene (46', 63')
Romanczuk (56'), Naranjo (74'), Pululu (90')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Svarnas (22'), Zwolinski (86')
Berggren (52')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Rakow Czestochowa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions

Last Game: Warta Poznan 1-2 Jagiellonia
Friday, December 1 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Rakow Czestochowa

All competitions

Polish Ekstraklasa

Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 1-1 Rakow
Sunday, December 3 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result
Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	Rakow Czestochowa
41.38% ( -0.18)	26.73% ( -0.1)	31.89% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 50.97% (

0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.06% (

0.47)

53.94% (

-0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.61% (

0.39)

75.39% (

-0.4)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.3% (

0.12)

25.7% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.38% (

0.16)

60.62% (

-0.16)

Rakow Czestochowa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.61% (

0.43)

31.39% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.23% (

0.5)

67.76% (

-0.5)

Score Analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 41.37%

Rakow Czestochowa 31.89%

Draw 26.73%

Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	Rakow Czestochowa
1-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 41.37%	1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.73%	0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.91% Total : 31.89%