Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 18
Dec 10, 2023 4.30pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Jose Naranjo 12' goal
  • Jose Naranjo 33' goal
  • Nene 46' goal
  • Taras Romanczuk 56' yellowcard
  • Nene 63' goal
  • Jose Naranjo 74' yellowcard
  • Afimico Pululu 90' yellowcard
  • goal Efstratios Svarnas 22'
  • yellowcard Gustav Berggren 52'
  • goal Lukasz Zwolinski 86'

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Rakow Czestochowa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Dec 1, 2023 5.00pm
Warta Poznan 1 - 2 Jagiellonia
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Jesus Imaz

Rakow Czestochowa

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Dec 3, 2023 4.30pm
Slask Wroclaw 1 - 1 Rakow
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Ante Crnac

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result

Jagiellonia Bialystok 41.38% (-0.19)
Draw 26.73% (-0.10)
Rakow Czestochowa 31.89% (+0.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.97% (+0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.06% (+0.47)
Under 2.5 53.94% (-0.48)
Over 3.5 24.61% (+0.40)
Under 3.5 75.39% (-0.40)
Over 4.5 11.11% (+0.25)
Under 4.5 88.88% (-0.25)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5 74.3% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 25.7% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 39.38% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 60.62% (-0.17)

Rakow Czestochowa Goals

Over 0.5 68.61% (+0.44)
Under 0.5 31.39% (-0.44)
Over 1.5 32.23% (+0.50)
Under 1.5 67.76% (-0.51)

Score analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 41.37%
Draw 26.73%
Rakow Czestochowa 31.89%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-0 @ 10.96% (-0.16)
2-1 @ 8.63% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.45% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 3.91% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.26% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.33% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 41.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 8.07% (-0.15)
2-2 @ 5% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.73%
Rakow Czestochowa
0-1 @ 9.35% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 7.36% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 5.42% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.84% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 2.09% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.93% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 31.89%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 1
Jul 22, 2023 4.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Rakow
  • Lukasz Zwolinski 45'+2' goal
  • Lukasz Zwolinski 63' goal
  • Bartosz Nowak 65' goal
  • yellowcard Afimico Pululu 9'
  • yellowcard Bojan Nastic 10'
  • yellowcard Jesus Imaz Balleste 30'
  • yellowcard Nene 84'