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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 18
Dec 10, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski
Rakow

Jagiellonia
4 - 2
Rakow

Naranjo (12', 33'), Nene (46', 63')
Romanczuk (56'), Naranjo (74'), Pululu (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Svarnas (22'), Zwolinski (86')
Berggren (52')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Rakow Czestochowa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Warta Poznan 1-2 Jagiellonia
Friday, December 1 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 1-1 Rakow
Sunday, December 3 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawRakow Czestochowa
41.38% (-0.184 -0.18) 26.73% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1) 31.89% (0.277 0.28)
Both teams to score 50.97% (0.406 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.06% (0.469 0.47)53.94% (-0.474 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.61% (0.393 0.39)75.39% (-0.39699999999999 -0.4)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.3% (0.11799999999999 0.12)25.7% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.38% (0.16 0.16)60.62% (-0.163 -0.16)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.61% (0.434 0.43)31.39% (-0.439 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.23% (0.499 0.5)67.76% (-0.503 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 41.37%
    Rakow Czestochowa 31.89%
    Draw 26.73%
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawRakow Czestochowa
1-0 @ 10.96% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 8.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.45% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.91% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.035 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 41.37%
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.07% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 9.35% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.36% (0.065 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.42% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.09% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 31.89%

Head to Head
Jul 22, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 1
Rakow
3-0
Jagiellonia
Zwolinski (45+2', 63' pen.), Nowak (65')

Pululu (9'), Nastic (10'), Imaz Balleste (30'), Nene (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Swiatek
Sabalenka
7 4 79
5 6 67
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia31168770442656
2Slask Wroclaw31159742301254
3Lech Poznan31141074436852
4Gornik ZabrzeGornik31156104338551
5Legia WarsawLegia301311646341250
6Rakow CzestochowaRakow311310851341749
7Pogon SzczecinSzczecin301461056362048
8Widzew Lodz30126123939042
9Stal Mielec31118123944-541
10Zaglebie Lubin31118123746-941
11Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice3081483232038
12KS CracoviaCracovia3171594340336
13Radomiak Radom3098133751-1435
14Warta Poznan30810123137-634
15Puszcza Niepolomice30712113647-1133
16Korona Kielce30613113539-431
17Ruch Chorzow31414133653-1726
18LKS Lodz3156203067-3721


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