Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 54.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 22.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result
Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	Stal Mielec
54.8%	23.11%	22.09%

Both teams to score 54.44% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.38% (

-0)

45.62% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.06% (

-0.01)

67.94% (

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.47% (

-0)

16.53% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.72% (

-0)

46.29% (

Stal Mielec Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.22% (

-0)

34.78% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.49% (

-0)

71.51% (

Score Analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 54.79%

Stal Mielec 22.09%

Draw 23.11%

Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	Stal Mielec
1-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 9.84% 2-0 @ 9.31% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.59% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.51% 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.96% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.26% Total : 54.79%	1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.11%	0-1 @ 6.07% 1-2 @ 5.77% 0-2 @ 3.21% 1-3 @ 2.03% 2-3 @ 1.83% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.05% Total : 22.09%