Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Korona Kielce	Draw	Jagiellonia Bialystok
45.91% ( 0.01)	24.55% ( -0.01)	29.54% ( 0)

Both teams to score 56.93% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.3% (

0.04)

45.7% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.98% (

0.04)

68.02% (

-0.04)

Korona Kielce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80% (

0.02)

20% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.81% (

0.03)

52.19% (

-0.03)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.16% (

0.02)

28.84% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.3% (

0.03)

64.7% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Korona Kielce 45.91%

Jagiellonia Bialystok 29.54%

Draw 24.54%

Korona Kielce	Draw	Jagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 9.29% 1-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 45.91%	1-1 @ 11.54% 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.54%	1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.85% 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 29.54%