Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadion MOSiR ul. Narutowicza

Radomiak Radom
1 - 1
Korona Kielce

Castaneda (63')
Wolski (9'), Grzesik (13'), Rossi (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Deaconu (71')
Kwiecien (81')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Radomiak Radom and Korona Kielce.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Radomiak Radom 3-0 LKS Lodz
Saturday, October 7 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Korona Kielce 1-1 Warta Poznan
Friday, October 6 at 5.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Radomiak Radom win with a probability of 46.06%. A win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Radomiak Radom win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Radomiak RadomDrawKorona Kielce
46.06% (0.474 0.47)25.58% (-0.211 -0.21)28.36% (-0.263 -0.26)
Both teams to score 52.79% (0.483 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.24% (0.711 0.71)50.76% (-0.713 -0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.34% (0.622 0.62)72.66% (-0.624 -0.62)
Radomiak Radom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.98% (0.51600000000001 0.52)22.02% (-0.517 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.65% (0.777 0.78)55.35% (-0.777 -0.78)
Korona Kielce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.7% (0.172 0.17)32.3% (-0.172 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.2% (0.195 0.2)68.8% (-0.197 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Radomiak Radom 46.06%
    Korona Kielce 28.36%
    Draw 25.57%
Radomiak RadomDrawKorona Kielce
1-0 @ 10.76% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.065 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.14% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.64% (0.103 0.1)
3-0 @ 4.11% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.071 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.066 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.55% (0.051 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 46.06%
1-1 @ 12.16% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 7.11% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.2% (0.061 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 8.04% (-0.194 -0.19)
1-2 @ 6.87% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.54% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.59% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 28.36%