Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 16
Nov 26, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadion ul. Kusocinskiego

Puszcza Niepolomice
2 - 1
Gornik

Mrozinski (54'), Siemaszko (71')
Bartosz (24'), Yakuba (28'), Hajda (36'), Craciun (73'), Cichon (86'), Poczobut (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Yokota (45' pen.)
Nascimento (90+4')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Puszcza Niepolomice and Gornik Zabrze.

Form, Standings, Stats

Puszcza Niepolomice

All competitions
Last Game: Warta Poznan 0-2 Puszcza Niepolomice
Friday, November 10 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions
Last Game: Stal Mielec 2-1 Gornik
Sunday, November 12 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Puszcza Niepolomice had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Puszcza Niepolomice win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Puszcza NiepolomiceDrawGornik Zabrze
30.11% (-0.596 -0.6)25.82% (0.247 0.25)44.08% (0.348 0.35)
Both teams to score 53.07% (-1.098 -1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.12% (-1.293 -1.29)50.88% (1.291 1.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.24% (-1.148 -1.15)72.76% (1.147 1.15)
Puszcza Niepolomice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.92% (-1.073 -1.07)31.08% (1.071 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.6% (-1.274 -1.27)67.4% (1.273 1.27)
Gornik Zabrze Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77% (-0.389 -0.39)23% (0.389 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.2% (-0.579 -0.58)56.8% (0.577 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Puszcza Niepolomice 30.11%
    Gornik Zabrze 44.07%
    Draw 25.81%
Puszcza NiepolomiceDrawGornik Zabrze
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.187 0.19)
2-1 @ 7.17% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-0 @ 4.88% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.8% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-0 @ 1.9% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 30.11%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 7.15% (0.364 0.36)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.162 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 10.5% (0.42 0.42)
1-2 @ 9.02% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 7.72% (0.221 0.22)
1-3 @ 4.42% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.78% (0.065 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.62% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.39% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 44.07%