Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadion MOSiR

Stal Mielec
2 - 1
Gornik

Matras (15'), Shkurin (51')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Czyz (9')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Stal Mielec and Gornik Zabrze.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stal Mielec

All competitions
Last Game: Jagiellonia 4-0 Stal Mielec
Friday, November 3 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions
Last Game: Gornik 1-0 Cracovia
Monday, November 6 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Stal MielecDrawGornik Zabrze
36.36% (-0.241 -0.24)25.07% (0.058 0.06)38.57% (0.186 0.19)
Both teams to score 57.48% (-0.218 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54% (-0.277 -0.28)46% (0.28 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.69% (-0.264 -0.26)68.31% (0.26600000000001 0.27)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.23% (-0.258 -0.26)24.77% (0.262 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.66% (-0.365 -0.37)59.34% (0.368 0.37)
Gornik Zabrze Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.41% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)23.59% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.33% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)57.66% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Stal Mielec 36.37%
    Gornik Zabrze 38.57%
    Draw 25.06%
Stal MielecDrawGornik Zabrze
2-1 @ 8.22% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.16% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.69% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.82% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.035 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.65% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 36.37%
1-1 @ 11.77% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.84% (0.07 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.06%
1-2 @ 8.51% (0.022 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.44% (0.093 0.09)
0-2 @ 6.1% (0.061 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.1% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.93% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.48% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 38.57%

rhs 2.0


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