UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Group Stage

Dec 14, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Stadio Toumbas

PAOK
4 - 2
HJK Helsinki

Ozdoyev (37'), Konstantelias (47'), Toivio (53' og.), Murg (85')
Troost-Ekong (35')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Radulovic (6'), Hetemaj (90+1' pen.)
Hostikka (22')

Coverage of the Conference League Group Stage clash between PAOK and HJK Helsinki.

Form, Standings, Stats

PAOK

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: PAOK 3-0 Lamia
Monday, December 4 at 4pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

Top scorers

HJK Helsinki

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: HJK Helsinki 2-2 Aberdeen
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 79.47%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 7.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.11%), while for a HJK Helsinki win it was 1-2 (2.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.

Result
PAOK	Draw	HJK Helsinki
79.47% ( -0.01)	13.08% ( 0.01)	7.45% ( -0)

Both teams to score 49.63% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.55% (

-0.07)

31.45% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.08% (

-0.08)

52.92% (

0.08)

PAOK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.8% (

-0.02)

6.2% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.57% (

-0.04)

23.43% (

0.04)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.91% (

-0.06)

47.09% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.45% (

-0.04)

82.55% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

PAOK 79.47%

HJK Helsinki 7.45%

Draw 13.08%

PAOK	Draw	HJK Helsinki
2-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 7.28% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 4.05% ( -0) 5-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.88% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.41% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 3.92% Total : 79.47%	1-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.2% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 13.08%	1-2 @ 2.3% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.2% ( 0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 7.45%