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Conference League | Group Stage
Sep 21, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Bolt Arena
PAOK

HJK Helsinki
2 - 3
PAOK

Bande (35'), Radulovic (90+9' pen.)
Hetemaj (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Koulierakis (55'), Despodov (81'), Brandon (90+4')
Despodov (64')
Coverage of the Conference League Group Stage clash between HJK Helsinki and PAOK.

Form, Standings, Stats

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 2-0 Inter Turku
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

PAOK

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: PAOK 0-0 Aris
Sunday, September 17 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.

Result
HJK HelsinkiDrawPAOK
32.05% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)27.54% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)40.41% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.59% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.01% (0.019999999999996 0.02)56.99% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.12% (0.015999999999998 0.02)77.88% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.15% (0.007000000000005 0.01)32.84% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)69.41% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.36% (0.013999999999996 0.01)27.64% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.82% (0.018999999999998 0.02)63.18% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    HJK Helsinki 32.04%
    PAOK 40.41%
    Draw 27.53%
HJK HelsinkiDrawPAOK
1-0 @ 10.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.24%
2-0 @ 5.63% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.69%
3-0 @ 2.09%
3-2 @ 1.73% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 32.04%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 9.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.65% (0.0029999999999992 0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.53%
0-1 @ 11.67%
1-2 @ 8.36% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 7.51%
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 40.41%

How you voted: HJK Helsinki vs PAOK

HJK Helsinki
47.6%
Draw
14.3%
PAOK
38.1%
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