Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Turku win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Turku win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.