Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Turku win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for KTP had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Turku win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest KTP win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Turku would win this match.