Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 18
Jul 30, 2023 at 2pm UK
Savon Sanomat Areena

KuPS
2 - 0
KTP

Heinonen (3' pen., 55')
Nissila (19')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pozo-Venta (46'), Nurmos (72')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between KuPS and KTP.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derry 2-1 KuPS
Thursday, July 27 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Oulu 3-1 KTP
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 59.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for KTP had a probability of 18.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a KTP win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.

Result
KuPSDrawKTP
59.18% (0.197 0.2)22.51% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)18.31% (-0.133 -0.13)
Both teams to score 50.4% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.96% (0.075000000000003 0.08)48.04% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.79% (0.067999999999998 0.07)70.21% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)
KuPS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.12% (0.091000000000008 0.09)15.88% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.91% (0.169 0.17)45.09% (-0.17 -0.17)
KTP Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.91% (-0.108 -0.11)40.09% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.27% (-0.099999999999998 -0.1)76.74% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    KuPS 59.17%
    KTP 18.31%
    Draw 22.5%
KuPSDrawKTP
1-0 @ 11.71%
2-0 @ 10.77% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.61% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.04% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.04% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.78% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.12% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 59.17%
1-1 @ 10.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.37% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 22.5%
0-1 @ 5.82% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.89% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.66% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.49% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0079999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 18.31%

Head to Head
Apr 14, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 2
KTP
0-0
KuPS
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
KTP
1-2
KuPS
Finnas (21')
Finnas (26'), Paavola (80')
Ricardo (4'), Udo (24')
Ricardo (55')
Aug 15, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 19
KuPS
4-0
KTP
Vayrynen (22', 29'), Popovits (77'), Ikaunieks (90+3')
Popovits (42')

Laaksonen (2'), Arranz (35'), Ramadingaye (60')