UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry))

Derry
2 - 1
KuPS

(Derry City win 5-4 on aggregate)

Patching (69'), Kavanagh (79')
Kavanagh (17'), Connolly (44')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Vidjeskog (45' pen.)
Vidjeskog (20')

Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Derry City and KuPS.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Derry 1-0 Torshavn
Thursday, July 20 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

KuPS

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Turku 1-1 KuPS
Monday, July 17 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 47.16%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for KuPS had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a KuPS win it was 0-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result
Derry City	Draw	KuPS
47.16% ( 0.01)	28.03% ( -0)	24.8% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 43.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.23% (

61.77% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.43% (

81.56% (

-0)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.66% (

0.01)

26.33% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.53% (

0.01)

61.47% (

-0.01)

KuPS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.7% (

-0.01)

41.29% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.18% (

-0)

77.82% (

Score Analysis

Derry City 47.16%

KuPS 24.8%

Draw 28.02%

Derry City	Draw	KuPS
1-0 @ 14.51% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.68% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.31% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 47.16%	1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 3.79% Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.02%	0-1 @ 9.62% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.25% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.25% 2-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.22% Total : 24.8%