Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 60.45%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 16.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Vaasan Palloseura win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.