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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 13, 2023 at 7pm UK
Gundadalur
Derry City

Torshavn
0 - 0
Derry

FT
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Torshavn and Derry City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torshavn

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Newtown 2-1 Torshavn (3-2 pen.)
Thursday, July 14 at 6.15pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Derry City

All competitions
Last Game: Derry 2-1 Sligo
Friday, July 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Torshavn had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Torshavn win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
TorshavnDrawDerry City
31.94% (0.032 0.03)25.48% (0.013999999999999 0.01)42.58% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 55.01% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.25% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)48.75% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.14% (-0.038 -0.04)70.85% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Torshavn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.25% (0.00099999999999056 0)28.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.41%64.59% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.21% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)22.79% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.5% (-0.058 -0.06)56.5% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Torshavn 31.94%
    Derry City 42.58%
    Draw 25.47%
TorshavnDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 8.17% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.53% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 5.09% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.13% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 31.94%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 6.55% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 9.69% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.93% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.17% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 4.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.53% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.31% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 42.58%