Derry City
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 21
Jun 23, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Brandywell Stadium
Cork City

Derry
2 - 0
Cork City

McGonigle (45+1'), McGinty (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and Cork City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions
Last Game: Derry 0-0 Bohemians
Friday, June 9 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Cork City

All competitions
Last Game: Cork City 1-2 Dundalk
Friday, June 9 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 67.26%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Cork City had a probability of 12.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.93%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Cork City win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result
Derry CityDrawCork City
67.26% (0.521 0.52)20.72% (0.010999999999999 0.01)12.02% (-0.532 -0.53)
Both teams to score 41.3% (-1.509 -1.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.65% (-1.188 -1.19)52.35% (1.189 1.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.96% (-1.032 -1.03)74.03% (1.032 1.03)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.31% (-0.22099999999999 -0.22)14.69% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.14% (-0.424 -0.42)42.86% (0.424 0.42)
Cork City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.41% (-1.638 -1.64)51.59% (1.639 1.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.27% (-1.111 -1.11)85.73% (1.111 1.11)
Score Analysis
    Derry City 67.25%
    Cork City 12.02%
    Draw 20.72%
Derry CityDrawCork City
1-0 @ 14.53% (0.56 0.56)
2-0 @ 13.93% (0.43 0.43)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-0 @ 8.91% (0.21 0.21)
3-1 @ 5.9% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-0 @ 4.27% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.83% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.145 -0.15)
5-0 @ 1.64% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.09% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 67.25%
1-1 @ 9.62% (-0.078000000000001 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.58% (0.351 0.35)
2-2 @ 3.05% (-0.201 -0.2)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 20.72%
0-1 @ 5.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 3.18% (-0.182 -0.18)
0-2 @ 1.66% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 12.02%

How you voted: Derry vs Cork City

Derry City
84.4%
Draw
3.1%
Cork City
12.5%
32
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Cork City
1-3
Derry
Owolabi (90+3')
Boyce (38'), Duffy (60'), Whelan (78')
Feb 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Derry
2-0
Cork City
McEleney (31'), McEneff (63')
Nov 9, 2020 7.30pm
Gameweek 18
Cork City
1-1
Derry
O'Brien Whitmarsh (59')
Bargary (44'), Hurley (51'), McGlade (67')
Akintunde (76')
Oct 23, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Cork City
P-P
Derry
Aug 21, 2020 5.45pm
Gameweek 9
Derry
3-1
Cork City
Figueira (50'), Hammill (53'), Akintunde (90+6')
Thomson (71')
Olowu (3')
Ochieng (37')